Alabama vs. Arkansas prediction, odds: 2023 college basketball picks, Jan. 11 best bets from proven model

The 15th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks will look to continue their home dominance over the fourth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Wednesday when they meet in a key SEC showdown. The Razorbacks (12-3, 1-2 SEC), who are coming off a 72-59 loss at Auburn, have beaten Alabama in 20 of 26 meetings on their home floor. They also hold a 36-30 advantage in the series, including a 28-27 edge in SEC meetings. The Crimson Tide (13-2, 3-0), who defeated Kentucky 78-52 on Saturday, have won four straight and eight of nine.

Tip-off from Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas, is set for 7 pm ET. Arkansas leads the all-time series 36-30, including a 20-6 edge in games at Fayetteville. The Razorbacks are 1-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 152.5. Before making any Arkansas vs. alabama picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 9 of the season 34-18 on all-top rated college basketball picks, returning more than $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone who followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Arkansas and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Arkansas vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Arkansas spread: Arkansas -1
  • Alabama vs. Arkansas over/under: 152.5 points
  • Alabama vs. Arkansas money line: Alabama -105, Arkansas -115
  • ALA: The Crimson Tide are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points
  • ARK: The Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss
  • Alabama vs. Arkansas Picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Games | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Why Alabama can cover

Freshman forward Noah Clowney has started all 14 games he has played in and is off to a fast start to his collegiate career. He has reached double-digit scoring in two of the past three games, and in six games overall. He has one double-double, a 16-point and 11-rebound effort in a 71-65 win at Houston on Dec. 10. For the season, Clowney averages 9.6 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game.

Freshman guard Jaden Bradley, who has started six of 15 games, has reached double-figure scoring in eight games. He scored a season-high 18 points in a loss to Gonzaga on Dec. 17. Bradley averages 8.9 points, 3.7 assists and 3.1 rebounds per game. The 2022 McDonald’s All-American was a consensus five-star prospect and was ranked as the No. 1 point guard and No. 17 overall prospect in this year’s class by 247 Sports.

Why Arkansas can cover

Junior guard Ricky Council IV, a transfer from Wichita State, has started all 15 games and is averaging 18.1 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.5 steals. He is hitting on 47.1% of his field goals and 79.7% of his free throws. He has led Arkansas in scoring a team-best six times and has scored in double digits in 14 of 15 games. He averaged 22 points on 70% field goal shooting and was 8-for-8 at the foul line in wins over Troy and San Jose State to earn SEC Player of the Week honors on Dec. 5.

Freshman guard Anthony Black is coming off a 23-point, seven-rebound effort in Saturday’s loss at Auburn. He is averaging 12.5 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.7 steals per game. Black scored a season-high 26 points in an 80-54 win over Louisville on Nov. 21 and matched that total the next day in a 90-87 loss to Creighton.

How to make Arkansas vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 149 combined points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that hits in 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Alabama? And which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 34-18 on its top-rated college basketball picks this seasonand find out.

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